TAPAS.network | 10 January 2023 | Commentary | Phil Goodwin

The 2022 DfT National Road Traffic Projections: unanswered questions and required conversations

Phil Goodwin

Just before Christmas the Department for Transport published its National Road Traffic Projections 2022(1). Here Phil Goodwin explores what they comprise, and how they were arrived at, and whether they provide a sound basis for planning and investing in our future transport system. He finds some positive enhancements over previous versions, but some concerning weaknesses in how the range of future scenarios was defined, and two major omissions in considering the likely real trajectory for road transport in the years ahead.

This article first appeared in LTT magazine LTT860, 10 January 2023. The original publication contained an error and was subsequently corrected by Professor Goodwin in this revised text on 23 January 2023.